11 Mar
Posted by MacRanger as Barack Obama, News
Looks like buyer’s remorse is setting in.
“President Barack Obama says he’s ready to do whatever it takes to help Democrats win the House next year — a feat that could make the difference between limping to the end of his presidency and going out with a bang.
But some Democratic candidates and operatives in the districts on which control of the House will hinge said in interviews with POLITICO that the message and issues Obama has emphasized since the election are creating a difficult political headwind for them.
Obama’s political choices, they say, reflect a tone-deafness to the challenges they face competing for moderate and conservative-leaning seats.
To net 17 seats and flip the chamber, Democrats have to win predominantly on GOP turf, in districts that Mitt Romney won and where Obama and his agenda are unpopular. A number of Democrats made clear in interviews that the more partisan posture Obama has adopted over the past few months — particularly on cultural issues like gun control, and to a lesser extent on immigration and gay marriage — is making an uphill slog that much steeper.
“I think the tone coming out of the White House … could probably be more conciliatory,” said Jim Graves, a Minnesota Democrat who nearly knocked off Rep. Michele Bachmann last year in a suburban Twin Cities district where Obama barely eclipsed 40 percent.
I wonder what a presidential election poll would show now, Obama vs. Romney? How bad is the polling on Obama?
“But this approach manifestly hasn’t worked. Obama’s approval number has tumbled. Even in New York State, it dropped by 10 points (from 66 percent to 56 percent) in the past month. And 60 percent of New York voters now believe the country is on the wrong track.”
When you compare blue state number with the rest of the nation add +5, and you have someone who is in a lot of trouble.
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One Response
retire05
March 12th, 2013 at 5:12 pm
1Welcome back, Mac. You’ve been sorely missed.
Here is my observation: Obama’s policies, especially concerning Obamacare, will be in full force by the next presidential election in Nov. 2016. By then the pain that it will impose on average Americans will be fully felt. This is NOT going to help those Democrats trying to hold on in purple districts or win districts that went for Mitt Romney. Sooner or later, people will also realize that unemployment numbers are only kept at the near 8% because the BLS is dropping Americans from the work force. Those people didn’t leave the nation, or just retired, they quit looking for non-existant jobs.
I also think there is going to be a greater split in the red-blue state dynamics. I read a lot of hyperbole, especially from the left, how Texas is going to at least go purple in 2016, due to migration to my fair state. Yet, not once has anyone discussed that the state has been seeing migration for the last ten years (look at the U.S. Census) and yet Texas seems to be turning redder, not purple. Why? Because people who are sick of nanny states that are taxing them out of their homes are moving to less tax states at the first opportunity. Those who support high taxes, in states like California, are being divided into two groups; those who pay, and those who collect. The average person who pays is sick of propping up those who collect.
Florida will probably go solid blue as northeasterners move to get away from high home heating/fuel costs. These are the liberals of New York who will never admit that it is their state government, and the Democrats, who have caused their costs to skyrocket. But Texas is a different story. A liberal New Yorker will not be very comfortable in Texas and will quickly be told to return where he came from if he doesn’t like the way we do things.
So, two states to watch: Texas and California. If Obama’s approval starts dropping in California, like it has in New York, the Dems are in trouble because our economy is not going to get better anytime soon.
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