03 Sep
Posted by MacRanger as 2012 Presidential Election, Barack Obama, Headline, Mitt Romney, News
PPP has a poll out with another rediculous D+13 sample showing no Romney bounce in Florida.
“PPP’s newest Florida poll, conducted completely after the Republican convention, finds no change in the Presidential race there. Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 48-47, exactly as he did on our last poll of the state five weeks ago.
The Republican convention being held in Tampa appears to have been a wash. 33% of voters say it made them more likely to vote for Republicans, 33% said it made them less likely to vote for Republicans, and 34% said it didn’t make a difference to them either way.
Romney did see a slight bump in his favorability numbers. 49% of voters have a positive opinion of him to 47% with a negative one. That +2 spread is up a net 5 points from late July when his breakdown was 46/49.”
Other notes from Florida:
-One reason Romney may not get much, if any, of a convention bounce is simply that people don’t think he’s a very good speaker. 58% in Florida say Obama is a better public speaker to 32% for Romney.
-49% of Florida voters think Romney should release 12 years of his tax returns to 41% who think he should not.
-Florida voters oppose the Ryan Plan 44/37 but given the lack of change in the race since Ryan’s selection as Romney’s running mate and the strong advantage the Republican ticket has with seniors that may not be having too much of an impact.”
It’s a silly question on speaker qualities. Purely subjective and we can all ask, “Just what have ‘words’ and ‘soaring rhetoric’ got us? They didn’t ask that.
We can pretty much call this an outlier poll for a couple of reasons. First, it does jive at all with other polling. Fact is that Romney is rising and Obama is sinking in Gallup and other head-to-head polling. Rasmussen has Romney ahead 48-44 nationally for the last two days. He was trailing Obama 47-45 just before his speech, that’s a 5 point swing. Romney also leads by 2 point in 11 Swing States average.
Other polling shows Romney with a +2 in Florida and with exact samples it’s up as high as 4. Second, the Ryan plan IS popular with seniors according to polling. It’s all in the questioning of course and PPP – which is a democratic polling outfit is notorious for it’s “slanted” questioning.
Third, this poll takes place after Isaac and into the Memorial Day weekend. That means forget samples in LA, MS, AL, where many are recovering from the storm. Long weekend means that most people are on the road and not at home. Traditional weekend samples always favor democrats. Let’s wait until about,er the week after next, after the DNC, and after the coming friday jobs report. Then you start to get the real numbers.
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