Via the Campaign Spot:

“Anybody Expect Virginia’s Voters To Break 45 Percent Democrat, 31 Percent Republican on Election Day?

On Election Day in Virginia, I wouldn’t be surprised if more Democrats show up to the polls than Republicans.

But like Beyond the Polls, I have doubts that recent polling in Virginia is accurately representing who is going to show up on the first Tuesday in November.

For example, the Survey USA poll has 39% Democrats, 30% Republicans and 25% Independents. The Suffolk poll has 45% Democrats, 31% Republicans and 24% Independents/Unaffiliated voters. Neither poll is close to historic party ID in Virgina: The 2004 electorate was 39% Republican, 35% Democrat, and 26% Independent. This changed little in 2006, when the Allen-Webb electorate was 39% Republican, 36% Democratic, and 26% Independents.

In the best year for Democrats since 1974, with a uniquely well-positioned candidate in Jim Webb and running against a uniquely pooly-positioned candidate in George Allen, the Democrat beat the Republican by less than one percent.

An Obama win in Virginia? Yes, that’s quite possible. An Obama win by 12 percent, as Suffolk currently shows? If you believe that, you’re smoking something besides the commonwealth’s tobacco products.”

While it’s doubtful all the polling data is wrong, it’s also doubtful that the current Obama surge is totally real. Just like in Virginia slanted polls are showing a false picture of a sweeping Obama win. But we all know that the MSM would love conservatives to believe it, get discouraged and not show up on election day. The pure and simple fact is that if Republicans show up in mass on election day we will win. No matter what the polls say turnout trumps prognostication every time.

Remember election day 2004 and how the media released exit polls to show a landslide by Kerry? The only problem, they were flawed, and intended only to suppress GOP turnout.

We weren’t fooled then, we won’t be fooled now. Yes it’s possible that Barack Obama, a socialist and terrorist sympathizer might win this thing, but let’s not just give it to him eh?

Get busy, get involved. I’ve personally emailed over 25,000 people through lists and sent out over 20,000 flyers detailing Barack Obama and who he really is and it IS making an impact. In fact the response I’m receiving is telling me that polls in Florida showing Obama in any kind of lead are wrong indeed. Again, don’t believe the hype and don’t give up.